To Stay or Move with Dignity 

Mapping protections for Pacific peoples displaced by disasters across borders.

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Climate-related disasters are already displacing families across the Pacific

Climate-related disasters are already displacing families across the Pacific

Grandmother with her daughter in law, and her grandson Timothy, age 13

Cyclones, floods and rising seas are already uprooting Pacific families. When disaster strikes, families can lose homes, crops, income and security, while communities face difficult choices about their future.

Most Pacific peoples want to remain on their ancestral lands, connected to the places, languages and communities that hold their identity. The priority must be helping families stay safely where they belong.

But when disasters drive movement, families need safe, predictable and dignified pathways that keep them together and protect wellbeing. This report shows how New Zealand can work with Pacific partners to reduce harm, strengthen protection, and support dignity when movement becomes unavoidable.

"I don't want to leave because all my friends are here."

— Gelani, age 4, Solomon Islands

Climate change is driving movement

<1 per second

45.8 million people were internally displacements worldwide in 2024, more than one person displaced per second.

25% globally

25% globally

The East Asia and Pacific regions accounted for 14.8 million displacements, or 25% of the global total.

914,000 people

914,000 people

Between 2008 and 2021, more than 914,000 people, or 7% of the Pacific region's population, were displaced within their own countries, with nearly all (87%) due to weather-related events.

What our research found


1. Disaster displacement is already reshaping the Pacific
Across the region, climate-related disasters are already affecting where and how Pacific families live. Protection systems need to reflect this reality, not treat it as a distant future scenario.

2. Pacific communities want to stay safely where they belong
Most Pacific peoples want to remain connected to ancestral land, culture, language, family and community. Regional responses must prioritise adaptation, resilience and the ability to stay safely at home.

3. Children are most affected
When displacement is unmanaged or unsupported, children face heightened risks, including family separation, exploitation, disrupted education and loss of safety. Any regional response must put children’s protection and wellbeing at the centre.

4. The region needs clearer protection pathways
Current legal and policy systems have not kept pace with climate- and disaster-related displacement. Pacific families need safe, predictable and supported options when disasters force movement across borders.

5. Pacific-led solutions can protect dignity and reduce harm
New Zealand and the wider region have an opportunity to plan ahead with practical, Pacific-led responses. Early action can reduce foreseeable harm and ensure families can stay or move with dignity.

Our recommendations

New Zealand can act now to reduce harm, close protection gaps, and support Pacific-led solutions.
Help Pacific communities stay safely where they are

Help Pacific communities stay safely where they are

Invest in Pacific-led resilience, adaptation, preparedness and early warning systems so families can remain safely on their ancestral lands for as long as possible.

Close protection gaps when disasters force movement

Close protection gaps when disasters force movement

Create clearer, fairer and more predictable arrangements for Pacific families displaced by disasters, so children and families are not left navigating inconsistent systems when protection is needed.

Put Pacific leadership at the centre

Put Pacific leadership at the centre

Responses should be shaped with Pacific communities, not for them. New Zealand should establish a Pacific-informed advisory mechanism to guide decisions, strengthen accountability and ensure policies reflect dignity, culture, family unity and lived experience.

Why this matters for New Zealand

Why this matters for New Zealand

New Zealand is a Pacific nation, and our future is tied to the wellbeing and stability of the region.

As climate change intensifies and disaster displacement grows, New Zealand has an opportunity to show long-view leadership by planning ahead with practical, Pacific-informed solutions that reduce harm, strengthen protection, and uphold dignity for children and families.


Read the report

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